Articles

An Update on Job Losses in the US due to AI

An Update on Job Losses in the US due to AI

Antonio Szabo
A Silver Fox Advisor

The Empire Strikes back.

In the original article a year ago we referenced a consulting firm’s opinion:

“According to recent projections by researchers Forrester, within the next one to three years, AI could potentially lead to the loss of around 2.4 million jobs in the US.”

Many developments took place since then. Including that the companies that sell AI software decided to intervene in the “opinion forming” activities. 

One of the grand conclusions on this matter clearly shows this fact:

“AI is reshaping U.S. labor markets quickly but, so far, it looks more like a force for rapid job reconfiguration and modest displacement than a mass-unemployment event, with impacts heavily concentrated in specific occupations and career stages.”

A new cuantificación of job losses is also available:

AI is reshaping U.S. labor markets quickly but, so far, it looks more like a force for rapid job reconfiguration and modest displacement than a mass-unemployment event, with impacts heavily concentrated in specific occupations and career stages. Estimates for 2025 place AI-linked job losses or foregone hires in the range of about 200,000–355,000 jobs, roughly 0.13–0.20% of U.S. nonfarm employment, meaning the aggregate hit remains small in percentage terms. A significant drop from the Forrester estimates from a year ago.

Furthermore, a reasonable current view is that, absent stronger guardrails and large-scale upskilling, the main risk is not immediate mass unemployment but a widening gap between adaptable, higher-skill workers who capture AI-driven productivity gains and more vulnerable workers—especially those in routine roles and at the start of their careers—who face stalled mobility or long-term wage pressure